Presidential advisor and election guru Karl Rove spoke to the American Enterprise Institute today, and, AP reports, blamed the Second Gulf War in Iraq for dragging down President Bush's poll numbers, saying that ". . . the war looms over everything."
Mr. Rove is correct, at least in part. He promises that the President will offer a "comprehensive solution" to immigration problems in his address to the Nation tonight.
John Derbyshire at National Review Online thinks the President's immigration proposals won't amount to much. Count El Jefe as somewhat of a skeptic of the National Guard to the Border plan, without more, also. We will soon know.
Mr. Rove seems to believe, or affects to believe, that things will be okay for Republicans in November. I hope he is right, and not smoking crack. Mr. Rove is many things, but stupid is not one of them. Logically then, he knows or understands something that we do not.
Mr. Rove's Rosy Scenario view presumes that the economy will continue to enjoy good health: that is, that higher gas prices and hurricane season will not affect present growth rates, much. There is reason for skepticism here, but lets suspend that for a moment. Take good economic numbers as a given. What else is Karl banking on ?
Mr. Rove says Iraq is a problem, but that things will be okay. . . This makes me think that, whatever the military situation is, a substantial withdrawal of troops from Iraq might be in the cards this summer.